I’ve
seen something nowadays often enough that I’m starting to wonder why it always
seems to be the case year after year. Some people are certain to lose an
election in the future. Yet they still seem to win the primary against
challengers in their party. Why is that? I honestly don’t know, but still
thought that I would share thoughts about this with you.
It
happened in Illinois in both 2014 and 2018. The incumbent governor was doomed
to lose the election. He faced a primary challenge that he won. He then lost
the general election. But I wonder still why he win the primary when people
should have known that he was doomed to lose at some point in the process.
This
could happen yet again with Trump. While some people are convinced that he will
win again, I don’t see it as happening. But the question remains: will he win
the primary? Well, it is not like he isn’t facing competition from other
Republicans in the primary. But the last incumbent president to lose
renomination was Chester Alan Arthur. And that was before primaries were a
thing. Plus, I have heard that Republicans are trying to avoid primaries in
some places at least for the presidency to make sure that Trump wins it. They
should know better considering all of the crap that they gave Democrats for the
supposed rigging of things against Bernie Sanders.
I
may never know for sure why doomed candidates win primaries. Maybe people
figure that there will not be any real competition in the primary and just
gloomy go with a bad choice as they still think that’s the only thing that will
work. That’s what happened with Herbert Hoover. He got to run for president
again, but there was no way he could win. Maybe they know that they will lose
and figure that they should just let them lose for some reason.
Maybe
someone else can explain what’s going on. Of course, I may not know enough
primaries to know for sure if doomed candidates are able to lose it to someone
else. It is hard to know all of the primaries that happen and if I’m wrong
about the candidates who are certain to lose in the general still winning in
the primary. Besides, it is hard to tell for sure what will happen in all of
the elections in the future.
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