Something
that might be highly debated in the future of this country for a good long
while is whether or not third parties are viable choices for office. Should one
vote for them and actually think that this would be a vote in favor of them?
Can third party candidates actually win? More importantly, can they win the
presidency? Well, I’m going to talk about this option and see if it is a good
one or quite a terrible idea. Honestly, it could depend on a lot of different
factors. But I might as well get into it in this blog post.
People
might feel this way about the election for president right now. They may not
like either Trump or Biden. I mean, don’t both have women accusing them of
sexual misconduct? To the unobservant, both or just Biden is guilty until more
research is put into this. But that’s not what I’m here for. I’m wondering if
voting third party for president in 2020 is a good idea.
This
takes me back to when I was in eighth grade and taking a history class. The
class of maybe around 20 students (myself included) voted in a mock election.
After the votes were all counted, only one person (namely me) had voted for the
third party candidate. (This was 2004 and before I realized that John Kerry was
the better candidate.) Everyone else had voted for either of the main party
candidates in the election. This is how it often seems to be in elections of
all sorts. The third party gets a notable minority of the votes, but not close
enough to getting anywhere close to winning. Would you vote for someone that
you didn’t want to win? I doubt it. Would you vote for someone that you felt
couldn’t win even if you wanted them to win? That becomes the next great
question to ask.
Just
two years later in 2006, the election for governor in Illinois gave people two
major party candidates that weren’t well liked at all. This gave the green
party candidate 10% of the vote as that many people wanted him governor versus
the major party candidates. That party was even a major party in this state for
a while as a result. The winner of that election got 49% of the vote. You might
wonder, if all of the green party candidate’s votes went to the Republican who
lost, would she have won? The answer is no. She would have just barely lost a
close election. But this creates the big problem in the race.
Many
suspect that voting for a third party candidate is throwing your vote away.
Others think that it is far worse as you are ensuring that a party loses by not
voting for that party. But this is not always a problem by just voting third
party. There were enough people in 2016 who had done write-in ballots in
Florida for people that don’t exist that if all of them had voted for Hillary
Clinton instead, she would have won that state. That proves just how crazy the
voting system is at times nowadays.
Of
course, some might have to point out that third party candidates can and do win
elections. And this isn’t by them switching parties after winning in a major
party (although that does happen a lot from time to time). It is just such a
rare and uncommon occurrence that all of them tend to stick out as unusual in
most places unless they are from states or rare elections that did not have
major party candidates on one of the spaces.
As
we look towards the 2020 election for president, to me, it makes zero sense if
you don’t like Trump to vote for a third party candidate. If you want Trump to
lose, you would have to vote for Biden or you are just giving Trump more of an
edge. There might be some issues with Biden, but to vote third party makes no
sense this time around.
Ever
since I first started voting in 2010, I have always voted for one Democrat, one
Republican, and one third party candidate. People don’t get a free pass by
running unopposed. Yet I do not vote often for third party in any major races
and tend to give it to something that I don’t care that much about or to a race
I feel is largely unimportant in some way to me at least. One time, the vote
was for a two month term which would have meant little to nothing if they did
win.
Honestly,
part of the issues with third parties are the varied views that they support. The
libertarians, for instance, seem to combine the worst ideas of Democrats and
Republican and they also throw in some other horrible ideas of their own as
well. The green party offers no real identity that I can tell. I couldn’t tell
you much about the reform party nor do I know about the constitutional party
and what they do. Independents often switch parties or represent one of the major
parties while not actually officially labeled that in some ways.
Maybe
a third party could break through all the gridlock that is going on and create
a way through all of this partisanship. But it seems to me that instead we’d
get another set of people who want their way and won’t get along with other
people leading to even more partisanship. In fact, I would say that since I’ve
heard talk about a major third party for a long while now and have yet to see
anything come close to it in recent years, that it might be like how the red
hair gene is going extinct as a thing that people say without any evidence to
ever back it up.
That’s
all that I can think of for this post. Maybe there is more to say, but their
probably isn’t. Justin Amash, a former Republican, is considering running as a
libertarian for president. I don’t think that he could hurt Biden’s chances,
but we’ll have to see if he even wins the nomination or enters the race. Biden
has been shown doing better in the polls then Trump, but that’s only if this
remains a two way race. Trump could win a three way race and that is why we don’t
want there to be any third parties messing things up.
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